“The best benefit of good planning is this: if one is thwarted by some setback, nevertheless one has the sense that the plans were well… Read More »Thinking in Bets, 425BC Edition (Herodotus on planning and risk)
The Feynman Lectures on Physics are available online courtesy of Caltech. Here’s an elegant description of probability in the real world: See also: Who Says?Decisions… Read More »Richard Feynman on probability fluctuations
I’ve been listening to Annie Duke’s Thinking in Bets. In it she emphasises the importance of separating judgements about the quality of your decisions from… Read More »Decisions as bets
Three things that have stood out to me this week: The huge importance of talking to people in general, and of talking to the right… Read More »Thoughts of the week (three for one)